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Probabilistic population projection with James II
Grunddaten
Link
Abstract
Autoren
Einrichtung
Grunddaten
Titel
Probabilistic population projection with James II
Veröffentlicht in
Proceedings of the 2009 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC) : 13 - 16 Dec. 2009, Austin, Texas, U.S.A. ; inclusion of MASM (Modeling and analysis of semiconductor manufacturing) .... - Piscataway, NJ : IEEE
Erscheinungsjahr
2009
Seiten (von – bis)
2008 – 2019
Jahr
2009
Publikationsform
Elektronische Ressource
Publikationsart
Teil einer Monographie/eines Konferenzbandes
Sprache
Englisch
DOI
10.1109/WSC.2009.5429715
Letzte Änderung
17.05.2019 16:08:18
Bearbeitungsstatus
durch UB Rostock abschließend validiert
Dauerhafte URL
http://purl.uni-rostock.de/fodb/pub/32332
Links zu Katalogen
Abstract
Predicting future populations and their structure is a central theme in demography. It is related to public health issues, political decision-making, or urban planning. Since these predictions are concerned with the evolution of a complex system, they exhibit a considerable uncertainty. Accounting for this inherent uncertainty is crucial for subsequent decision processes, as it reveals the range of possible outcomes and their likelihood. Consequently, probabilistic prediction approaches emerged over the past decades. This paper describes the probabilistic population projection model (PPPM), a recently developed method that allows detailed projections, but has a complex structure and requires much input data. We discuss the development of P3J, a tool that helps users in managing and executing projections and is built on top of the simulation system JAMES II. We outline how even specific tools like P3J profit from general-purpose simulation frameworks like JAMES II, and illustrate its usage by a simple example.
Autoren
Bohk, Christina
Ewald, Roland
Uhrmacher, Adelinde
Externer Link
Beschreibung
Link
Link zur Online-Ressource
http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/WSC.2009.5429715
Einrichtung
IEF/Bereich Informatik